Email: mwaugh@stern.nyu.edu
MICHAEL WAUGH
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Work in Progress 

The Consumption Response to Trade Shocks: Evidence from the US-China Trade War​, December 2019
Updated draft. See code repository regarding changes relative to NBER working paper version.
Slides    Non-technical description  VoxEu column   
Media Coverage: New York Times  Bloomberg I  Bloomberg II  Marketplace/NPR  Wall Street Journal  Marketwatch

Quantifying the Losses from International Trade, July 2019, with Spencer Lyon.
Slides 

The Welfare Effects of Encouraging Rural-Urban Migration, December 2017, with David Lagakos and Mushfiq Mobarak.
​Slides  Revised draft coming soon.


Equilibrium Technology Diffusion, Trade, and Growth, May 2019, with Jesse Perla and Chris Tonetti. NEW VERSION!
Revise and resubmit at The American Economic Review.
​Slides (old version)


Can Global Uncertainty Promote International Trade?, June 2019, with Isaac Baley, Laura Veldkamp.
Slides 

Trade Models, Trade Elasticities, and the Gains from Trade, 2014, with Ina Simonovska.
Revise and resubmit at The Journal of Political Economy.


Consumption Gains from Rural-Urban Migration: New Evidence and Interpretation, September 2019,
with David Lagakos, Samuel Marshall,  Mushfiq Mobarak, Corey Vernot. 
Draft coming soon. ​


Publications

International Trade and Intertemporal Substitution, with Fernando Leibovici.
Journal of International Economics, Volume 117, March 2019, Pages 158-174.
​Web Appendix

Redistributing the Gains From Trade Through Progressive Taxation, with Spencer Lyon.
Journal of International Economics, Volume 115, November 2018.
Slides    Non-technical Summary  ProMarket Blog​ 

Firm Dynamics and Immigration: The Case of High-Skilled Immigration, 2018.
In Talent Flows in the Global Economy, edited by Gordon Hanson, William Kerr, and Sarah Turner.
Slides    Non-Technical Summary

Measuring Openness to Trade, with B. Ravikumar.
Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Volume 72, November 2016.​

Agricultural Productivity Differences Across Countries, with Doug Gollin and David Lagakos.
The American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 104 (5): 165-170. May 2014.


The Agricultural Productivity Gap, with Doug Gollin and David Lagakos.
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 129 (2). May 2014.


The Elasticity of Trade: Estimates and Evidence, with Ina Simonovska.
Journal of International Economics, 92(1): 34-50. January 2014.

2015 Winner of The Bhagwati Award. Selected by the JIE Editorial Board as the best article published in the JIE during 2013 and 2014.

Selection, Agriculture, and Cross-Country Productivity Differences, with David Lagakos,
The American Economic Review, 103(2): 948-980. April 2013.


International Trade and Income Differences,
The American Economic Review, 100(5): 2093-2124. December 2010.

Job Market Version

Older Papers

Worker Heterogeneity, Selection, and the Gains from Trade in Agriculture, with Doug Gollin and David Lagakos.

Minimum Consumption, Uncertainty, and Income Differences, with B. Ravikumar.


Human Capital, Product Quality, and Bilateral Trade, 2008.


Bilateral Trade, Relative Prices, and Trade Costs, 2008.






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